Posts
Just a quick note about tomorrow. Looking over things there is nothing that appears strong enough to be a bet yet, and there is the possibility there won't be any bets tomorrow. Update in the morning.
Cheers
Friday 25 March 2011
Saturday 19 March 2011
Tuesday 15 March 2011
Midweek and looking for feedback
One game of interest:
Notts County
I'm thinking about posting up more bets as they develop, rather than (almost all the time nowadays it seems) waiting for the odds to crash and posting at lower value on gameday (see kaiserslautern, for example, and many other bets in recent times).
I still think the bets will make money at the closing lines, but it makes no sense NOT to post at what I think will be the best price.
I may also indicate sometimes when I think it could drift.
If there was enough interest (and I doubt there is!) I could also tweet when new picks are posted, so that you can set up a free SMS from twitter if you like.
Any thoughts on the above (not including comments about delusions of grandeur over how many followers I have, I'm sure you can count them on one hand) would be welcomed.
Any horse racing fans, have a great day today and a feast at the festival. Hope you smash the books to pieces.
Notts County
I'm thinking about posting up more bets as they develop, rather than (almost all the time nowadays it seems) waiting for the odds to crash and posting at lower value on gameday (see kaiserslautern, for example, and many other bets in recent times).
I still think the bets will make money at the closing lines, but it makes no sense NOT to post at what I think will be the best price.
I may also indicate sometimes when I think it could drift.
If there was enough interest (and I doubt there is!) I could also tweet when new picks are posted, so that you can set up a free SMS from twitter if you like.
Any thoughts on the above (not including comments about delusions of grandeur over how many followers I have, I'm sure you can count them on one hand) would be welcomed.
Any horse racing fans, have a great day today and a feast at the festival. Hope you smash the books to pieces.
Saturday 12 March 2011
Sat 12 Mar
Blog shouldn't go quiet as I will get someone else to post for me most likely - but wife is 40 weeks+ pregnant now so if it is quiet for a week or so, you'll understand why!
Today:
Rushden x 1.5
Roma x 1.5
Osasuna
Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern
Genoa
Carlisle
Today:
Rushden x 1.5
Roma x 1.5
Osasuna
Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern
Genoa
Carlisle
Tuesday 8 March 2011
March 8th
Just one bet, note price
Rushden (get 4/6 at least, bigger at asian books and exchanges)
Good luck
Rushden (get 4/6 at least, bigger at asian books and exchanges)
Good luck
Saturday 5 March 2011
Tuesday 1 March 2011
01 March 11
In a bid to fix what's gone wrong in the last couple of months, I've taken apart a number of things.
The conclusion I can come to (when looking back on numerous times we have been chinned from 2 and 3 goals in front) is - nothing is wrong, but variance is at work, and it can be an evil evil beast.
It may well be that there is a major period of correction upwards before the end of the season, but there are no guarantees.
In looking for some fixes though, I am going to endeavour to cut out any chaff bets which have been no more than makeweights over the recent times. It will be clear what these bets are in the fullness of time.
Two for midweek:
Osasuna
Hayes
Taking on AFC again!
Good luck if you play
The conclusion I can come to (when looking back on numerous times we have been chinned from 2 and 3 goals in front) is - nothing is wrong, but variance is at work, and it can be an evil evil beast.
It may well be that there is a major period of correction upwards before the end of the season, but there are no guarantees.
In looking for some fixes though, I am going to endeavour to cut out any chaff bets which have been no more than makeweights over the recent times. It will be clear what these bets are in the fullness of time.
Two for midweek:
Osasuna
Hayes
Taking on AFC again!
Good luck if you play
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