Today's bets

Getting close to the thick of things now, couple more weeks and all divisions will be at our mercy (hopefully!)

Strike rate has been appalling, when it picks up results will improve. Hopefully its our "turn" for a better day today.

Birmingham
Bournemouth x 1.5
Middlesbrough
Millwall x 1.5
Peterborough
Port Vale
Scunthorpe x 2
Shrewsbury

ADO Den Haag - Holland
Gaziantepspor (Turkey)
Plymouth - UK!

From the first group, aside from Posh which is our one big underdog stab, an acca looks possible. Recommending 0.1 pts acca brum x bournemouth x boro x millwall x port vale x scunthorpe x shrewsbury. Www.oddsportal.com is a great site to find the best price for the acca.

Good luck if you follow

Weekend

Action is hotting up.

Accrington x2
Aldershot
Alfreton
Bury
Carlisle
Cheltenham
Millwall (12:30 - sorry for late notice)
Watford
Twente - Holland
Az Alkmaar - Holland
Tromso - Norway
Atl Bilbao - Spain

All non-UK games are tomorrow.

Good luck if you follow. Hopefully earlier post next week - my intended routine last night was disrupted.

Midweek Efforts

Fairly quiet.

Hoping for a comeback after a poor weekend.

Northampton x2 (look to get 9/4 at least, there is better out there)
Cheltenham
Colchester
Accrington

Good luck if you play

Bets 10 Sep 2011

Aldershot
Carlisle
Dagenham
Luton (should get 4/6)
Lincoln
Northampton
Istanbul BB (Buyuksehir) - turkey
Feyenoord - holland
Genclerbirligi - turkey
Newport

Good luck if you follow

Bet

Valladolid (spain 2)

Aim for 1.60+. There is 1.65 depending on stake and bookies that you have accounts with!

Proofed at 1.60

Good luck if you play.

New season

Stand by for a post - just getting the rest of my stake down.

Probably only one bet. There will be extra caution until we are 8 games in.

Today

Apologies for no posts for 2 weeks. End of season is a period where I feel personally there is a lot on the table, but its more based on my personal judgement than solid figures backing it up - there are dynamics at work that see a lot of differing prices, even from year to year - for example, this year Dortmund were available early on last week at 3.85 because they had won the league, in a game where they would have been 2.25 ish under normal circumstances (and still been a bet); however, by the off they had been bet back in to 2.80. They aren't the sort of selections I am looking to put up, and indeed some of my decent winners in the last couple of weeks have crashed in price quite a bit and are very tough to get on at this time of year.

That theme is continuing - St Johnstone look a good bet on numbers away at St Mirren, but the money has taken them down 1/2 point already - so I won't put it up as a bet. I'll be watching myself and betting my own stuff but not putting anything on the blog. Its a learning experience. Teams like Fulham look like a solid bet away at birmingham tomorrow, but there's a big motivational factor (combined with the relative scarcity of away wins by mid-range teams in the prem, and birmingham's decent home record).

I will be putting up any particularly strong bets in the swedish and other scandinavian leagues over the summer, periodically, and updating the blog record as well.