Today

Apologies for no posts for 2 weeks. End of season is a period where I feel personally there is a lot on the table, but its more based on my personal judgement than solid figures backing it up - there are dynamics at work that see a lot of differing prices, even from year to year - for example, this year Dortmund were available early on last week at 3.85 because they had won the league, in a game where they would have been 2.25 ish under normal circumstances (and still been a bet); however, by the off they had been bet back in to 2.80. They aren't the sort of selections I am looking to put up, and indeed some of my decent winners in the last couple of weeks have crashed in price quite a bit and are very tough to get on at this time of year.

That theme is continuing - St Johnstone look a good bet on numbers away at St Mirren, but the money has taken them down 1/2 point already - so I won't put it up as a bet. I'll be watching myself and betting my own stuff but not putting anything on the blog. Its a learning experience. Teams like Fulham look like a solid bet away at birmingham tomorrow, but there's a big motivational factor (combined with the relative scarcity of away wins by mid-range teams in the prem, and birmingham's decent home record).

I will be putting up any particularly strong bets in the swedish and other scandinavian leagues over the summer, periodically, and updating the blog record as well.