Sat 26 Feb

Sorry for late post

Levante
Millwall x1.5
Bury x2.5
Rushden x1.5
Newcastle x2
Newport x1.5

Some smaller stakes than they would have been due to gambles taking value off the table.

22 Feb 11

There was a chap who used to (not sure if he still does, I don't bother with it anymore) on the betfair forums called HWB.

On further investigation it came to light that the HWB stood for Hate West Brom. Now I'm fairly sure that this was because he was a Wolves fan, but if he needed some company, I'm sure followers of this blog would provide it. Another game where they dominated the stats, and another no-result. Its extremely frustrating - West Brom have dominated 14 home games this season, and only converted 5 into victories. History suggests a closer approximation to how many they "should" have won would be 9 games. To be 4 games away in a small sample is not an amazing surprise, but it is a few standard deviations away from the mean, to say the least.

Unluckiest team in the prem? In England? Shoot on sight policy warping the stats? Another reason? Comments welcome on this issue!

A very slim midweek card - there just isn't much value on the table in these fixtures according to my numbers.

Derby
Wrexham
Carlisle x1.5

19 feb 2011

Slowing down a little, but that's inevitable as mistakes are less likely until we reach the silly season.

WBA x 2.5 (they owe, to say the least)
eastbourne x 1.5
tamworth x 1.5
killie x 2
hearts x 1.5
rushden x 2.5
brest
las palmas (spain division 2)

Going to be posting the occasional one from slightly more bizarre leagues. I recommend getting them on at betfair/pinnacle depending on your stakes because they might attract more unwanted attention at "standard" bookmakers. Leagues like switzerland, scandinavian leagues - only very sporadic plays anyway.

15 and 16 Feb

Just 2 meagre games of interest

Bury x1.5
Hamilton x2

Hamilton is tomorrow.

Weekend 12 Feb

Not around tomorrow (grrrr!) so hopefully tonight was a good start to a positive weekend.

Villarreal
WBA x4
Stoke x1.5
Catania x1.5
Notts co x1.5
Crawley x1.5
Kidderminster 4/7 MINIMUM (CORAL COUPON or wait for a drift)
Stevenage
Man Utd
Barrow x2
Cambridge
Hartlepool x1.5
Fleetwood x1.5
Eastbourne x1.5
Blackpool x2
Rushden x2

Late notice sorry

Other weekend bets later or very early tomorrow morning.

one for tonight (sorry!)

Burton x 1.5

Midweek 7-9 Feb

Looks like a strong likelihood of no bets. Nothing I like in the midweek UK card anyway.

05 feb 11

We did well at this stage last season from here to the end.

Here's hoping for more of the same.

Macclesfield x1.5
Fleetwood x1.5
Osasuna
Rushden x1.5
Notts co x1.5
Southampton x1.5
Southend
Montpellier x2
Zaragoza
Getafe

Midweek 1 Feb

Fleetwood
York x2
Rushden x2.5
West Brom x1.5
Kilmarnock



Good luck if you play - perhaps more tomorrow.