Posts
Arsenal
Bury
Brighton
Eastbourne
Tranmere
Eastbourne liquidity is extremely weak, I will put a minimum of 9/2 on this selection (available at a few places at that and 5.6 at asian books)
Saturday 30 April 2011
Monday 25 April 2011
Saturday 23 April 2011
Friday 22 April 2011
Good Friday
Can not foresee many bets over Easter, if they are they will appear in drips and drabs.
One for today:
Oldham
GL
One for today:
Oldham
GL
Tuesday 19 April 2011
Midweek underdogs
2 bets:
Darlington
Newcastle
Motivational factors are starting to heavily influence things. How manchester united can be 1.7 away at newcastle, this season, i have absolutely no clue. Far too big.
You should be looking for 10/3 darlo minimum and 5/1 newcastle - both are bigger on betfair.
Darlington
Newcastle
Motivational factors are starting to heavily influence things. How manchester united can be 1.7 away at newcastle, this season, i have absolutely no clue. Far too big.
You should be looking for 10/3 darlo minimum and 5/1 newcastle - both are bigger on betfair.
Saturday 16 April 2011
Weekend bet
Yes, bet in the singular:
Everton
An amazing lack of consensus on the methods that I use to generate the stronger picks.....usually not a good sign, but everton look on my numbers to be closer to 4/7 than 8/11.
Everton
An amazing lack of consensus on the methods that I use to generate the stronger picks.....usually not a good sign, but everton look on my numbers to be closer to 4/7 than 8/11.
Saturday 9 April 2011
Wednesday 6 April 2011
One more pick
Also I am already filled on Helsingborgs (Sweden 1) to beat Elfsborg. You should aim for 13/10 again although there is 2.35 at expekt if you bet there.
First picks for weekend 9 April
Going to start trying to post a few once I am on, and expect the price to contract. I won't go as far as to say I will post play-by-play so there will still be some posts with multiple picks on.
Price won't last (IMO) if you can get Swansea at 13/10 (tote), either way I am making Swansea a selection.
Price won't last (IMO) if you can get Swansea at 13/10 (tote), either way I am making Swansea a selection.
Tuesday 5 April 2011
Minor midweek
One pick tonight:
Plymouth.
Comes from a subset of picks since 2008 that have yielded around the 50% ROI mark (yes, you read it right) - but that's no guarantee of success (indeed, Hayes at the weekend was from the same subset).
Plymouth.
Comes from a subset of picks since 2008 that have yielded around the 50% ROI mark (yes, you read it right) - but that's no guarantee of success (indeed, Hayes at the weekend was from the same subset).
Saturday 2 April 2011
Sat 2nd April
Ac Milan
Accrington
Bolton
Everton
Gillingham
Hayes
Mallorca
Reading
Port Vale
West Brom
Dropping multiple stakes for the rest of the season, because stakes should not be too aggressive at this stage. Motivational factors start to creep in, and whilst IMO they are vastly overcompensated for and overbet (historically I have done well in may just using raw ratings, which really should not happen if motivation is as important as the market thinks it is), I do not make allowances for them and thus all picks from hereon in until the end of English seasons will be 1pt.
Accrington
Bolton
Everton
Gillingham
Hayes
Mallorca
Reading
Port Vale
West Brom
Dropping multiple stakes for the rest of the season, because stakes should not be too aggressive at this stage. Motivational factors start to creep in, and whilst IMO they are vastly overcompensated for and overbet (historically I have done well in may just using raw ratings, which really should not happen if motivation is as important as the market thinks it is), I do not make allowances for them and thus all picks from hereon in until the end of English seasons will be 1pt.
Friday 1 April 2011
Friday 1st April
Not an april fool, but after a quiet time following international football (and childbirth) one pick for tonight:
Lech Poznan (Poland)
Good luck if you play
Lech Poznan (Poland)
Good luck if you play
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