Posts
Stand by for a post - just getting the rest of my stake down.
Probably only one bet. There will be extra caution until we are 8 games in.
Saturday, 3 September 2011
Saturday, 14 May 2011
Today
Apologies for no posts for 2 weeks. End of season is a period where I feel personally there is a lot on the table, but its more based on my personal judgement than solid figures backing it up - there are dynamics at work that see a lot of differing prices, even from year to year - for example, this year Dortmund were available early on last week at 3.85 because they had won the league, in a game where they would have been 2.25 ish under normal circumstances (and still been a bet); however, by the off they had been bet back in to 2.80. They aren't the sort of selections I am looking to put up, and indeed some of my decent winners in the last couple of weeks have crashed in price quite a bit and are very tough to get on at this time of year.
That theme is continuing - St Johnstone look a good bet on numbers away at St Mirren, but the money has taken them down 1/2 point already - so I won't put it up as a bet. I'll be watching myself and betting my own stuff but not putting anything on the blog. Its a learning experience. Teams like Fulham look like a solid bet away at birmingham tomorrow, but there's a big motivational factor (combined with the relative scarcity of away wins by mid-range teams in the prem, and birmingham's decent home record).
I will be putting up any particularly strong bets in the swedish and other scandinavian leagues over the summer, periodically, and updating the blog record as well.
That theme is continuing - St Johnstone look a good bet on numbers away at St Mirren, but the money has taken them down 1/2 point already - so I won't put it up as a bet. I'll be watching myself and betting my own stuff but not putting anything on the blog. Its a learning experience. Teams like Fulham look like a solid bet away at birmingham tomorrow, but there's a big motivational factor (combined with the relative scarcity of away wins by mid-range teams in the prem, and birmingham's decent home record).
I will be putting up any particularly strong bets in the swedish and other scandinavian leagues over the summer, periodically, and updating the blog record as well.
Saturday, 30 April 2011
30th April
Arsenal
Bury
Brighton
Eastbourne
Tranmere
Eastbourne liquidity is extremely weak, I will put a minimum of 9/2 on this selection (available at a few places at that and 5.6 at asian books)
Bury
Brighton
Eastbourne
Tranmere
Eastbourne liquidity is extremely weak, I will put a minimum of 9/2 on this selection (available at a few places at that and 5.6 at asian books)
Monday, 25 April 2011
Saturday, 23 April 2011
Friday, 22 April 2011
Good Friday
Can not foresee many bets over Easter, if they are they will appear in drips and drabs.
One for today:
Oldham
GL
One for today:
Oldham
GL
Tuesday, 19 April 2011
Midweek underdogs
2 bets:
Darlington
Newcastle
Motivational factors are starting to heavily influence things. How manchester united can be 1.7 away at newcastle, this season, i have absolutely no clue. Far too big.
You should be looking for 10/3 darlo minimum and 5/1 newcastle - both are bigger on betfair.
Darlington
Newcastle
Motivational factors are starting to heavily influence things. How manchester united can be 1.7 away at newcastle, this season, i have absolutely no clue. Far too big.
You should be looking for 10/3 darlo minimum and 5/1 newcastle - both are bigger on betfair.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)