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There was a chap who used to (not sure if he still does, I don't bother with it anymore) on the betfair forums called HWB.
On further investigation it came to light that the HWB stood for Hate West Brom. Now I'm fairly sure that this was because he was a Wolves fan, but if he needed some company, I'm sure followers of this blog would provide it. Another game where they dominated the stats, and another no-result. Its extremely frustrating - West Brom have dominated 14 home games this season, and only converted 5 into victories. History suggests a closer approximation to how many they "should" have won would be 9 games. To be 4 games away in a small sample is not an amazing surprise, but it is a few standard deviations away from the mean, to say the least.
Unluckiest team in the prem? In England? Shoot on sight policy warping the stats? Another reason? Comments welcome on this issue!
A very slim midweek card - there just isn't much value on the table in these fixtures according to my numbers.
Derby
Wrexham
Carlisle x1.5
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Good luck if you follow. HWB
ReplyDeleteDerby -1
ReplyDeleteWrexham +3.8
Carlisle -1.5
+0.68, staked 3.5, 1W-2L
Hi Adam I've been away for the last 6 weeks and it looks like I chose a good time to go!
ReplyDeleteI was just going through a few of your results and some don't seem to add up. If Wrexham made 3.8 then your overall profit should be +1.3? How do you get +0.68?
One other I checked didn't seem to add up correctly either.
Anyway good luck this weekend, it's got to change soon!
Cheers, Mark
Hi Mark,
ReplyDeleteSorry, Wrexham was supposed to say +3.18. Sorry about that, where is the other mistake?
Cheers
My mistake the other one does add up.
ReplyDeleteNo probs. 6 weeks, a long break! Yes, extremely frustrating this season compared to last. Its been very tough, just the thin end of the wedge when you don't have a massive edge to wield.
ReplyDeleteYes a trip to Australia for a bit of cricket then holiday
ReplyDelete