Showing posts with label betting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label betting. Show all posts

Tuesday, 24 August 2010

August - the waiting game

Blog is not dead! Just lurking and collating things waiting for the season proper to start.

Also working hard on some horse racing rating potential - a major winner let slip to me a few of his secrets a few months ago so I'm all over trying to emulate at least half his ROI on horse racing! From everything I've seen so far, I'm pleasantly surprised at the rareness with which a real non-trier comes up.

Looking forward to mid-september. Crying about not having backed Torquay ante-post, thought I was getting too carried away with them but I really don't think that I was. OOPS!

Saturday, 20 February 2010

Good start to the blog record

Ok - here are the closers I have (not all are from pinn, just best price that was available at the off at a "proper" bookmaker, figures from oddsportal):

Arsenal 1.25
Portsmouth x 2 2.28
West Ham 1.72
Fulham x 2 Sun
Wrexham 2.08
Blackpool 2.35
Palace 2.05 (!)
Peterborough Void
Oldham x 2 5.4
Stockport x 2 4.9
Carlisle 4.52
Tranmere 2.26
AFC Wimbledon 3.9
Newcastle 1.48

So - counting the x2s as 2 bets, I make that 15 points staked today and 9.84 points profit for an overall figure of 16 bets, 8.84 points profit, and a 55.25% Yield.

Obviously, can't continue at that level of performance. But its nice to have a good start.

Add one more for tomorrow, another short one I am afraid - Aston Villa.

Other than that, my golfer went out by the narrowest of margins, leaving me again wishing I hadn't promised not to lay off! But still, there will be one by the end of the year, I hope! Also a crap day on the horses, that undid a good proportion of the good work on the football - but they are volatile markets, i'm sure it will come back in the long run.

Let's hope for a decent night on the US sports.

Tuesday, 19 January 2010

The drawdown continues

Well, it's been a horrible start to the year.

Just about avoided as bad a week as i had 2 weeks ago, but still some horrendous luck is being suffered.

On the bright side managed a huge arb with betfair that lost 56k at betfair, so that keeps the PC wolf even further from the door.

On the downside, it just isn't much fun at the moment. But it never is when it's like this. Must consider january as a month off next year. It's also left me wondering how much of a factor the weather has been.

This week has started badly as well. Hopefully I can turn it around by the end of the week, then push on next week. One day at a time at the moment.

Thursday, 14 January 2010

A reader or two?

So apparently my blog has made it onto my facebook, somehow. Can't remember sharing it myself, but I guess I must have done!

Things ticking over slowly - another game passes which, a couple of years ago would have been a huge earner on the coupons, but in the "tight teenies" as they may well be called (as far as coupons are concerned) it passes without incident.

The weather still isn't helping, although at least the temperature is up a bit. Things are so quiet I'm even watching the cricket and having a blast at trading it. It's not going great at the moment, but (hopefully) its a 5 day event, so we'll see how we go.

Friday, 8 January 2010

What a start to the year!

Well, a big drawdown on the bank holiday 28th Dec didn't help kick things off. Had a tough time of it on multiple strategies, which is always bad news. One of those weeks that comes along maybe twice a year. Not the best way to start a new one!

Been dipping in and out of football in-play markets as well again - used to play on them quite a lot. It will remain to be seen whether the strategy I am employing there will reap any rewards (although I think it will in the long term).

Picked up nice and early on the general trends in tonight's championship game (West Brom vs Notts Forest) and will have a nice position if its under 2.5 goals and if WBA don't win. May indeed have started bailing out too early - but I've been foolish recently in not closing off what could have been some excellent trades - and every price has to stop somewhere, so I've got to approach these with a little more risk-aversion I think. I see 0-0 as a possible, or a sneaky 1-0 either way, or maybe 1-1. 1-0 forest looks like it could be a fair bet on betfair.

The rest of the weekend could well be a serious damp squib. I see it as unlikely that any lower league football will take place and Scotland looks largely if not completely out of the question. So here's hoping for some juicy continental action.

How the hell am I going to maintain a 2% account for the rest of january! Time will tell, although I have some holidays saved up which I'll be putting into practice I think.